Specific proposals about AI contributing to human extinction or permanent loss of human control, with their sources, assumptions and objections.
A growing collection of specific scenarios. Each explains a possible pathway and the conditions it would require. Researcher proposals and any site-developed scenarios are labeled separately.
1 scenario · Catastrophic misuse
AI assistance could widen access to biological misuse. A human-triggered outbreak becomes an existential scenario only if defenses and humanity’s capacity to recover fail.
Dan Hendrycks · Mantas Mazeika · Thomas Woodside
Scenarios are reviewed and revised as their arguments and evidence develop. The timeline records observed incidents, investigations and attributed warnings; Methodology explains our assessments.
