Specific proposals about AI contributing to human extinction or permanent loss of human control, with their sources, assumptions and objections.
A growing collection of specific scenarios. Each explains a possible pathway and the conditions it would require. Researcher proposals and any site-developed scenarios are labeled separately.
2 scenarios · Conflict escalation
Critch and Tsimerman imagine self-sufficient robotics companies resisting state authority, with spreading civil wars culminating in a catastrophic biological attack.
Andrew Critch · Jacob Tsimerman
Critch and Tsimerman imagine automated retaliation spreading faster than leaders can regain control, with machines continuing the war as human populations collapse.
Andrew Critch · Jacob Tsimerman
Scenarios are reviewed and revised as their arguments and evidence develop. The timeline records observed incidents, investigations and attributed warnings; Methodology explains our assessments.